Thursday, May 30, 2013

Central Bank Easy Credit Flows Into US Stock Market.

US Federal Reserve trying to re inflate assets through easy credit and low interest rates which in turn push the stock market higher via a variety of mechanisms, such as company's buying their own shares with low credit and then retiring the stock.
This monetary driven stock market although a welcome thing as it keeps the economy moving, also has the effect of minimizing the invisible hand of the free market, and misallocating capital. The bubble being created by this monetary policy is not big enough  to create escape velocity from the forces of deflation and contraction over the long haul . Eventually other policy measures will have to be instituted.

Sunday, May 26, 2013

Intrinsic Value vs Artifical Market Value.

Intrinsic Value vs Artificial Market Value.
Understanding the real value of something it's Intrinsic value of something vs an artificial central bank determined value of something can be a valid perspective for trying to predict long term trends in the economy.

Thursday, May 23, 2013

Only in San Francisco




In San Francisco there is a set of "hip" people who want to get rid of cars and add more bicycles to the transportation mix. Whole blocks of parking are disappearing to accommodate bike lanes.
Many car lanes are also disappearing to make way for bike lanes.
In China, the average people want to do away with their bicycle and get a car.
Obviously two different world views. Those people in China who have had bikes their whole life but no car , want  to make life easier by obtaining a car and those who have access to cars in the United States want to make a political statement about many things but I am guessing the political statement conceptually revolves around  global warming . After a few years of riding the bikes I suspect many of these American people will return to riding cars and live in the suburbs as they get older.

Friday, May 10, 2013

Poem of Survival

First of all you have to have your physical machine running which is your body and all the parts that go with that, then you have to incorporate prayer to God.
This is your defense against all the things that can go wrong in this immense Universe and allow you be led and navigated over this huge terrain that is the Universe.
The prayer to God and conversations with God give one the resiliency one needs to get up after the many hard blows life can deliver.
You need a good defense. You have to fortify your perimeter against your foe, but you must go on patrol often and go on the offense to keep your enemy off balance, and not allow your foe to concentrate his energy(forces) in a way that can overcome your defensive perimeter.
Know what your objectives are be flexible and think outside the box.
Understand where you are and what you want to get done with the tools and environment you are operating in.