Friday, April 12, 2013

MY HYPOTHESIS CHALLENGED

My hypothesis is that oil being priced in Dollars is a major component of the Dollar being the reserve currency of the world, not the only component of this phenomena my gut feeling without empirical study is that it  about 33.33 percent of it.

I would say that the recycling of dollars by OPEC(etc)  buying US bonds helps support the bond market/stock market, and less so the buying of weapons as important components of this concept  which I think especially the bond market aspect of it allows the US to borrow more money to run it’s government and  creates virtuous circles in several areas.
I believe systems are made up of many components and can not be defined by one thing but rather systems are made up of many interrelated moving parts. although it is possible to point out important aspects or major elements of a system like the pricing of oil in dollars relationship to the dollar as the reserve currency of the world.

My hypothesis was challenged by a customer in the cab. It turns out to be a good thing as I will read more about this theory of mine and flesh it out later.
My cab customer thought it was irrelevant what currency oil was priced in.

If any of you have an opinion as to whether the pricing of oil in dollars is relevant or not to the Dollar as reserve currency please post your opinion in comments section.

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